Aurillac Arpajon vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
48.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 0
AUR
42%
29%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 2
MON
22%
24%
55%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
AUR
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 0
LIM
52%
25%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
AUR
36%
26%
39%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
LEG
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LES
2 - 4
TOU
38%
26%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
PAU
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOU
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
ANG
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |