Aurillac Arpajon vs Thiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
YTR
0 - 6
AUR
18%
20%
62%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 1
AUR
61%
21%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LDU
3 - 0
AUR
45%
22%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 0
MOU
29%
26%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 1
CHA
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
THI
1 - 3
VAU
27%
25%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
THI
1 - 3
LIM
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
RVA
6 - 1
THI
86%
9%
4%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CLE
1 - 0
THI
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
THI
0 - 0
YTR
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |