Aurillac Arpajon vs Thiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
YTR
3 - 0
AUR
12%
18%
70%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -4 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
VOL
1 - 2
AUR
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
CLE
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
THI
2 - 1
BEB
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
LIM
0 - 2
THI
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
THI
1 - 1
CHA
44%
23%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
THI
0 - 2
SAE
15%
21%
64%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 3
THI
67%
20%
14%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |