Aurillac Arpajon vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 2
SAE
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LEP
2 - 2
AUR
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 2
COL
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BEZ
4 - 2
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
TAR
2 - 3
OLY
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 0
TAR
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
TAR
2 - 1
ALB
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 3
TAR
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
TAR
0 - 1
GAZ
32%
28%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |