Aurillac Arpajon vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
BEZ
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SAE
3 - 0
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
ASN
10%
20%
71%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 3
LEP
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
AUR
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
OLY
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 1
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 0
ALB
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
AGD
3 - 1
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 2
GAZ
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |