Aurillac Arpajon vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 1
AUR
66%
19%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 2
THO
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 1
VEL
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MOU
1 - 1
AUR
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 3
HAL
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAE
1 - 0
CLE
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 1
SAE
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
SAE
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AIN
1 - 1
SAE
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SAE
0 - 2
CHA
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |