Aurillac Arpajon vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
AIN
2 - 3
AUR
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 1
BEB
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 1
VAU
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 2
AUR
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 2
THI
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAE
2 - 0
VAU
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SAE
3 - 0
YTR
90%
8%
3%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BEB
1 - 4
SAE
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SAE
3 - 1
LIM
75%
16%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 2
SAE
12%
17%
71%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |