Aurillac Arpajon vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ILE
1 - 1
AUR
44%
24%
33%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 1
AUR
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAI
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CLE
1 - 1
AUR
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
BLA
46%
26%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SAE
2 - 1
BOU
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAI
5 - 0
SAE
53%
25%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAE
2 - 1
CLE
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 2
SAE
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
COU
1 - 3
SAE
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +2 |