Aurillac Arpajon vs Saint-Alban analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
AUR
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 1
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LIM
2 - 2
AUR
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
51%
25%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
AUR
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Alban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 5
LEG
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ALB
6 - 4
SAI
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAI
2 - 5
BAY
35%
27%
39%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 3
BAL
39%
27%
35%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
SAI
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |