Aurillac Arpajon vs US Le Pontet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
AUR
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
UZE
0 - 0
AUR
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 2
PAU
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
AUR
39%
29%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 0
HYE
30%
28%
43%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LEP
2 - 2
OLY
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FCM
1 - 1
LEP
56%
24%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LEP
6 - 2
ALB
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AGD
5 - 1
LEP
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
LEP
5 - 0
GAZ
25%
27%
48%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +3 |