Aurillac Arpajon vs Paulhan/Pézenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 2
ANG
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
AUR
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NIO
2 - 2
AUR
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 0
TOU
26%
25%
48%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 0
AUR
42%
29%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LES
2 - 3
PAU
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 1
LEG
56%
20%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PAU
5 - 1
VIL
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 2
ANG
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NIO
0 - 1
PAU
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |