Aurillac Arpajon vs Olympique Lyonnais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FCM
2 - 0
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 2
ALB
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 0
AUR
51%
26%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 2
GAZ
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
AUR
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OLY
3 - 0
LES
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
OLY
1 - 1
FCM
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 2
OLY
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OLY
2 - 1
AGD
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GAZ
2 - 1
OLY
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |