Aurillac Arpajon vs Nantes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
BAY
2 - 2
AUR
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
AUR
0 - 1
MOU
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BRI
1 - 3
AUR
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
AUR
1 - 1
ORL
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
AUR
2 - 1
LES
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
NAN
1 - 1
LES
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
LUZ
3 - 2
NAN
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
NAN
0 - 0
MON
41%
26%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LEM
1 - 0
NAN
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
NAN
0 - 2
LES
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |