Aurillac Arpajon vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
HYE
1 - 1
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 1
LES
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 1
OLY
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FCM
2 - 0
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 2
ALB
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 1
MAR
62%
23%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALB
26%
27%
48%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
GAZ
25%
28%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |