Aurillac Arpajon vs Lyon-Duchère II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
AUR
29%
23%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
AIN
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 1
CHA
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
THI
3 - 0
AUR
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 2
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LDU
1 - 2
VAU
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
RVA
2 - 2
LDU
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |