Aurillac Arpajon vs Anglet Genets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
AUR
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
AUR
7 - 3
SAI
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
AUR
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 1
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LIM
2 - 2
AUR
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Anglet Genets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LES
3 - 0
VIL
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LES
0 - 2
BEZ
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 1
LES
54%
24%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
UZE
3 - 0
LES
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LES
0 - 1
GAZ
19%
25%
55%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |