Aurillac Arpajon vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
AUR
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
BER
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 0
AUR
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
NAR
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 0
IST
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
IST
0 - 1
ARL
53%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
IST
1 - 0
LMU
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
STL
2 - 1
IST
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
IST
4 - 1
TOU
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |