Aurillac Arpajon vs Les Genêts d.A… analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
0 - 3
AUR
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
AUR
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAI
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Les Genêts d.A…
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LES
2 - 1
TOU
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 0
LES
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LES
1 - 0
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LES
5 - 1
LOR
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 3
LES
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |