Aurillac Arpajon vs FC Martigues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ALB
3 - 0
AUR
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 1
AGD
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
GAZ
2 - 0
AUR
62%
23%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
TAR
2 - 0
AUR
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Martigues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FCM
3 - 1
OLY
43%
28%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LES
0 - 3
FCM
29%
27%
45%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 1
FCM
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FCM
2 - 0
AGD
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
GAZ
1 - 0
FCM
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |