Aurillac Arpajon vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
64.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
AUR
0 - 0
VIL
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
FCG
3 - 1
VAL
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
RED
0 - 0
FCG
48%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
SAI
0 - 3
FCG
13%
22%
65%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
FCG
0 - 1
CSL
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
SOC
2 - 2
FCG
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |