Aurillac Arpajon vs Fabrègues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BER
0 - 0
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 1
LEG
40%
25%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 0
AUR
49%
26%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ROD
2 - 2
AUR
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
TOU
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FAB
3 - 1
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LES
2 - 1
FAB
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAB
1 - 0
BAL
39%
25%
37%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FAB
2 - 4
BAY
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BER
4 - 2
FAB
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |