Aurillac Arpajon vs Cournon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 3
AUR
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
CSL
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SAE
1 - 0
AUR
45%
25%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AUR
10 - 0
ILE
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SAI
0 - 1
AUR
56%
25%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cournon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
COU
1 - 5
BOU
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAI
4 - 1
COU
75%
17%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
COU
0 - 0
CLE
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 1
COU
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AVE
4 - 1
COU
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |