Aurillac Arpajon vs Chauray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 1
ANG
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
AUR
42%
26%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
ROD
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAY
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LEG
1 - 0
AUR
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
LEG
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 1
CHA
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAI
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 2
MON
46%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |