Aurillac Arpajon vs Chambéry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
THO
3 - 3
AUR
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AUR
2 - 2
BOU
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 2
AUR
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AUR
4 - 1
MOU
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HAL
4 - 2
AUR
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chambéry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LIM
2 - 0
CHA
54%
23%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
VAU
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
CHA
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAE
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 0
AIN
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |