Aurillac Arpajon vs Chambéry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 1
THI
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
YTR
0 - 6
AUR
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 1
AUR
61%
21%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LDU
3 - 0
AUR
45%
22%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 0
MOU
29%
26%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Chambéry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
VAU
37%
25%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
RVA
1 - 0
CHA
84%
11%
6%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
LIM
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
CHA
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CLE
3 - 2
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |