Aurillac Arpajon vs Chambéry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
VAU
3 - 3
AUR
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 0
YTR
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 4
AUR
38%
24%
39%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
VOL
77%
15%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CLE
2 - 0
AUR
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Chambéry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
BEB
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 2
CHA
51%
23%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
CHA
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
THI
0 - 3
CHA
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SAE
2 - 2
CHA
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +1 |