Aurillac Arpajon vs Bourg en Bresse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 1
VAU
71%
18%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 2
AUR
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 2
THI
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
YTR
3 - 0
AUR
12%
18%
70%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -4 |
Matches
Bourg en Bresse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BEB
1 - 4
SAE
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BEB
0 - 1
CHA
49%
22%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
THI
2 - 1
BEB
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BEB
1 - 0
CHA
34%
23%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
VAU
0 - 2
BEB
49%
23%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |