Aurillac Arpajon vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
FAB
1 - 1
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
BER
32%
26%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LEG
1 - 0
AUR
48%
25%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 1
ROD
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 0
AUR
52%
26%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
VIL
40%
24%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LES
0 - 0
BAL
57%
24%
20%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BAY
0 - 1
BAL
60%
23%
17%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 0
FAB
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BER
3 - 0
BAL
67%
21%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |