Aurillac Arpajon vs Auch Football analysis


32	ELO	21
3.7%	Tilt	-9.3%
26407º	General ELO ranking	28289º
592º	Country ELO ranking	605º
ELO win probability

73.3%

Aurillac Arpajon

16%

Draw

10.7%

Auch Football

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

73.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%

16%

Draw

0-0

3.5%

1-1

7.4%

2-2

4%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

16%

10.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-47%

-11%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aurillac Arpajon

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
08 Sep. 2012	LOR 1 - 0 AUR 53% 22% 25%	32	32	0
01 Sep. 2012	AUR 1 - 1 MUR 62% 21% 18%	32	29	3
25 Aug. 2012	NIM 1 - 0 AUR 45% 26% 29%	32	32	0
02 Jun. 2012	AUR 0 - 1 MON 54% 23% 23%	32	30	2
26 May. 2012	BAL 1 - 1 AUR 43% 27% 31%	32	32	0