Auray FC vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.7%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
88.1%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.3%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.7%
0-5
6.7%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
9.1%
0-6
3.7%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.8%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
BAS
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
GUI
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 4
ANN
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 0
ROD
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NIO
0 - 0
GUI
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |