Aulnoye vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
59.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AIL
1 - 1
AUL
35%
23%
43%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AMI
2 - 0
AUL
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AUL
3 - 2
IVR
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +5 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AUL
0 - 1
NOI
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
AUL
46%
22%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SML
0 - 0
NOI
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
SML
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AMI
2 - 1
SML
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
BOU
73%
16%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SML
5 - 3
TOU
74%
16%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |