Aulnoye vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SML
2 - 2
AUL
78%
14%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AUL
2 - 2
AIL
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
IVR
2 - 1
AUL
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NOI
2 - 1
AUL
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AUL
1 - 2
MAR
51%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
NOI
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
LIL
18%
24%
59%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 4
BOU
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AMI
0 - 3
LIL
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LIL
3 - 1
TOU
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |