Aulnoye vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
AUL
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FEI
2 - 2
AUL
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DIE
4 - 1
AUL
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AUL
2 - 0
AVI
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AUL
1 - 1
AIL
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 3
GRA
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AIL
1 - 1
CAL
19%
24%
57%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ARR
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 2
IRI
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FEI
1 - 0
CAL
47%
27%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |