Aulnoye vs Avion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AUL
1 - 1
AIL
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
IRI
2 - 0
AUL
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AUL
1 - 0
SED
21%
22%
58%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +3 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AMI
0 - 3
AUL
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AUL
3 - 1
ARR
24%
25%
51%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +4 |
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
IRI
3 - 0
AVI
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 3
SED
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AMI
4 - 0
AVI
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 0
ARR
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
AVI
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |