Aulnoye vs Ailly Sur Somme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
IRI
2 - 0
AUL
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AUL
1 - 0
SED
21%
22%
58%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AMI
0 - 3
AUL
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AUL
3 - 1
ARR
24%
25%
51%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
AUL
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ailly Sur Somme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AIL
1 - 2
GRA
22%
24%
55%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AIL
0 - 0
FEI
14%
20%
65%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AMI
3 - 1
AIL
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
IRI
2 - 3
AIL
83%
11%
5%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AIL
0 - 3
SED
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |