FC Augsburg II vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
10º
8º
15
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 2
AUG
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 0
ILL
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 6
AUG
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
STU
1 - 1
AUG
60%
20%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WAC
4 - 1
AUG
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
3 - 2
VIL
26%
25%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
WUR
3 - 1
TSA
81%
13%
5%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TSA
2 - 1
VIK
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 3
AUG
6%
13%
81%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 3
TSA
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |