FC Augsburg II vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
10º
8º
7
9º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
2 - 1
AUG
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 5
TSA
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 2
AUG
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 0
ILL
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 6
AUG
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 1
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
5 - 0
ANS
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
4 - 1
VIK
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 2
ANS
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 4
NUR
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |