Regionalliga - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 5-2
FC Augsburg II vs Aichach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
AIC
1 - 0
AUG
35%
24%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
EIN
2 - 3
AUG
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AUG
5 - 1
FRO
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
BUC
4 - 0
AUG
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
AUG
0 - 3
NUR
32%
25%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aichach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
AIC
1 - 0
AUG
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
TSV
2 - 0
AIC
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AIC
6 - 1
FUR
65%
19%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 2
AIC
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
DJK
0 - 3
AIC
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |