Auerbach vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OPT
0 - 1
AUE
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
AUE
1 - 0
BAB
47%
26%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AUE
1 - 1
BUD
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AUE
1 - 1
OBE
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MEU
0 - 0
AUE
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ZWI
4 - 2
BAB
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
OBE
2 - 3
ZWI
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ZWI
2 - 1
RBL
70%
18%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BAK
2 - 1
ZWI
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ZWI
1 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |