Auerbach vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LOK
1 - 1
AUE
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ROT
1 - 3
AUE
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
AUE
2 - 0
EIL
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GER
1 - 1
AUE
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
AUE
2 - 1
ERZ
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ZWI
1 - 1
POS
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GWW
2 - 0
ZWI
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ROT
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GER
0 - 3
ZWI
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ERZ
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |