Auerbach vs Wacker Gotha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
AUE
2 - 1
FCH
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AUE
2 - 0
ERZ
72%
17%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GRU
1 - 3
AUE
11%
18%
71%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AUE
2 - 0
ROT
45%
24%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ZWI
2 - 2
AUE
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wacker Gotha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
ERZ
4 - 1
WAG
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WAG
1 - 3
FCH
39%
24%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DYN
7 - 0
WAG
72%
17%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
WAG
1 - 1
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
WAG
1 - 1
GRU
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |