Auerbach vs VfB Krieschow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
50%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
4º
12º
5º
46
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 2
AUE
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 3
PLA
47%
22%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
EWD
1 - 2
AUE
46%
21%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 2
SVG
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SVB
2 - 4
AUE
26%
22%
53%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 0
VFL
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 8
VFB
17%
18%
66%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 4
MAG
18%
22%
61%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
EIN
0 - 1
VFB
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VFB
0 - 1
VIK
24%
23%
54%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |