Auerbach vs Dessau 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
AUE
2 - 0
DRE
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
CZJ
4 - 1
AUE
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
AUE
2 - 0
POS
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
AUE
0 - 2
MEU
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
OBE
2 - 3
AUE
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Dessau 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
SVD
1 - 1
SON
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 26 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
PLA
2 - 0
SVD
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SVD
0 - 0
MEU
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
GER
1 - 0
SVD
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
HAL
1 - 0
SVD
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |