Auerbach vs Borea Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAG
3 - 1
AUE
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
AUE
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AUE
2 - 1
SAC
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
AUE
1 - 3
GER
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VFL
0 - 1
AUE
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
BDR
1 - 1
SAC
45%
26%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
6 - 0
BDR
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
BDR
0 - 1
LOK
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VFL
0 - 0
BDR
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
BDR
1 - 1
ZWI
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |