Auerbach vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AUE
2 - 0
HER
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
AUE
0 - 2
CHE
7%
14%
79%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
WAC
3 - 0
AUE
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
AUE
2 - 3
OPT
63%
19%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LOK
3 - 1
AUE
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ERF
4 - 0
OBE
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
ERF
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ERF
1 - 0
WAC
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ERF
1 - 4
FCU
5%
10%
85%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
OPT
2 - 1
ERF
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -2 |