Auerbach vs Possneck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ENE
4 - 0
AUE
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
AUE
1 - 2
EIL
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BDR
1 - 1
AUE
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
AUE
0 - 1
HAL
20%
25%
54%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SAC
0 - 0
AUE
72%
19%
9%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Possneck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
POS
0 - 1
MEU
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ROT
0 - 3
POS
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
POS
2 - 1
GER
27%
26%
47%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SVD
3 - 0
POS
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
POS
2 - 0
BUD
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +3 |