Auerbach vs Possneck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
AUE
0 - 2
MEU
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
OBE
2 - 3
AUE
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AUE
3 - 4
SON
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
HAL
3 - 0
AUE
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
PLA
2 - 1
AUE
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Possneck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
POS
0 - 2
ZWI
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GER
1 - 1
POS
52%
24%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ERF
1 - 1
POS
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
CZJ
3 - 0
POS
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SAC
2 - 0
POS
68%
20%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |