Auerbach vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
AUE
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AUE
2 - 2
BAB
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LOK
1 - 1
AUE
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AUE
1 - 1
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
BAK
4 - 2
AUE
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
LUC
0 - 2
BUD
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
COT
2 - 0
LUC
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
LUC
1 - 4
NEU
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OBE
2 - 0
LUC
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
LUC
0 - 0
ALT
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |