Auerbach vs Gera 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
POS
2 - 1
AUE
23%
26%
51%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AUE
1 - 1
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
HAL
1 - 1
AUE
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
AUE
1 - 0
GER
44%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DRE
1 - 1
AUE
43%
27%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gera 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
GER
3 - 3
MEU
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SAC
4 - 2
GER
66%
21%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
GER
2 - 0
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ZWI
2 - 2
GER
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
GER
3 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |