Auerbach vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GRU
1 - 3
AUE
11%
18%
71%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AUE
2 - 0
ROT
45%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ZWI
2 - 2
AUE
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AUE
2 - 1
BUD
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
AUE
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 2
FCH
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DYN
2 - 0
ERZ
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 1
CAR
43%
25%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
2 - 0
ERZ
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 3
VFL
70%
17%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |